Gold
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Drivers and deeper charts →01 · Explore performance
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Selected market health
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The model uses trend, valuation, participation, stability and recession indicators. These classifications are a guide to market conditions, rather than a fixed sequence or timetable. See the method and coverage.
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Explore conditional scenarios over 6–12 months. Instrument directions refer to prices; sector directions refer to performance relative to the wider stock market.
Historical patterns vary across cycles. Business-cycle research · Bond prices and rates. Check observed sector leadership against this scenario.
Current regime
Reviewing the latest dashboard signals and current financial news.
A plain-language interpretation of the stored indicators. It does not use news or guess at unseen causes.
Each marker shows the current value between a lower and upper reference point. Left means a lower number, not always higher risk; the colors and endpoint notes explain the direction.
Sector allocation shows concentration, separately from sector performance.
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Economic backdrop
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A dashboard reading explains the numbers; cited web research adds current real-world context.
Jobs and income
A rise in unemployment can reduce household income and spending. It is on its own scale so even modest changes remain visible.
The three-month average smooths noisy monthly hiring and shows the direction of labour demand.
Weekly claims can provide an earlier indication of layoffs than the monthly employment report.
Nominal wage growth only improves purchasing power when it beats inflation. The real-wage line is the simple gap between pay growth and CPI.
Consumer demand
Retail sales and real consumption are both growth rates, making a direct comparison meaningful without a second axis.
Confidence can affect willingness to spend. It is shown separately from spending growth so neither series is flattened.
Durables are generally easier to delay than everyday nondurable goods. This is a useful demand-composition proxy, not a strict discretionary-versus-necessities split.
Household finance
Required debt payments as a share of income are more informative than debt levels alone. FRED publishes these ratios quarterly; the latest reading is held until the next release, not estimated month by month.
The outstanding balance shows the scale and direction of revolving consumer debt, not whether borrowers can repay it.
Late-payment rates show whether repayment stress is beginning to emerge across credit cards, consumer loans and mortgages.
Economic activity
GDP is reported quarterly. A dedicated chart keeps its smaller growth rate visible rather than flattening it against survey indexes.
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Interest rates affect loans, mortgages and company financing. Cooling inflation can give central banks more room to ease pressure.
06 · Keep exploring
Choose an area to see its full charts, comparisons and research.
Look at a company’s growth, debt, cash flow and valuation.
Open stock screener →Compare regions, investment styles and market benchmarks.
Compare markets →Compare fund prices, investment growth and government yields.
Explore bonds →See gold-linked, silver-linked and oil benchmarks with economic context.
Explore commodities →Find which parts of the market are leading or losing ground.
See sector rotation →Compare peers, valuation scenarios and business evidence.
Open advanced screener →Review the sources and observation dates behind the charts. Older readings and gaps are shown explicitly; missing observations are never replaced with generated samples.
How to read this page
Market health is a plain-language snapshot of whether broad market conditions are supportive, mixed, or stressed. The dashboard combines five lenses: trend strength, valuation attractiveness, market breadth, market stability, and recession cushion.
The score describes the current climate; it does not predict the next market move. Select US market or SG market to see the relevant benchmark, economic data, source status, and publication dates for that region.
Read the latest readings and data-status panel alongside the score. Older or unavailable observations are marked so monthly readings are not mistaken for real-time quotes.
Read the scoring methodology and limitations · Expert highlights appear inside the Macro and Micro research sections.
Think of the average as the market's long-term walking path. When the price stays above it, conditions are usually calmer; when it falls below, investors should expect more caution and volatility.
This shows how far the market has fallen from its best recent level. A small drop is normal; a deep drop means portfolios may feel more stress and patience becomes more important.
This compares the market's recent one-year result with its slower three-year pace. It helps separate a short burst of excitement from a healthier long-term trend. The three-year line appears after 36 complete monthly observations are available.
This asks whether investors are paying a high or low price for the market's earnings. Expensive markets can still rise, but future long-term returns may have less room for error.
This shows whether today's pricing is normal or stretched compared with the past. A high raw percentile means expectations are already high, so Valuation Attractiveness will be lower.
The dashboard shows the latest calculated valuation readings behind the score, so you can compare the methods rather than relying on one headline number.
For Singapore, this context uses the latest State Street ES3 factsheet snapshot: valuation multiples, yield and portfolio breadth. These are ETF weighted-average context metrics, not necessarily official STI index statistics or investment recommendations.
This checks whether many stocks are joining the rally, not just the largest names. When this line weakens, the headline index can look healthy while the average stock is struggling.
Both series start at 100 on the first displayed date, so the gap shows their relative percentage performance rather than different ETF share prices.
Rates and risk
Normally, long-term bonds pay more than short-term bonds. When short-term rates become higher, it can mean the economy is under pressure and investors should be more alert.
The VIX is a measure of expected market turbulence. A rise signals greater investor demand for protection, not a prediction of the next market move.
The high-yield spread shows the extra yield riskier companies must pay to borrow. A widening spread can signal tightening financial conditions.
Labour warning signals
A healthy economy usually keeps unemployment stable. A persistent rise may weaken household demand and company profits.
This rule tracks how far unemployment has risen from its recent low. It is shown on its own scale so a small but meaningful move is visible.
Liquidity
Money-supply growth is a broad liquidity backdrop. It is context, not a stand-alone reason to enter or exit the market.
For the US this shows central-bank balance-sheet growth; for Singapore it shows SORA transaction volume. Both help describe the funding environment in their market.